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#16
03-26-2011, 08:26 PM
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As of right now, the Top 10 on Billboard consists of acts like Adele, Glee, Justin Bieber, Avril Lavigne and Lupe Fiasco. Between now and then, Britney Spears, Snoop Dogg, Wiz Khalifa, Foo Fighters and Jessie J have album releases.
The week Stevie releases "In Your Dreams," she has competition from Musiq Soulchild and Colbie Caillat. I think it's very realistic she'll be in the Top 20, hopefully the Top 10 depending on if Britney, Bieber, Glee and others shift down the chart in a months time. Also, if she is definately on Oprah and is prominately featured on iTunes main page and in mags like Rolling Stone, she should be fine. However, if I had to guess, I'd estimate sales of anywhere between 75-120 for the first week. But I wouldn't at all be surprised if she drops off soon after and sales decline only due to the fact that in the few weeks after her release, she faces Lil Wayne's Carter IV (if it's even released then) and Lady GaGa. 
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#17
03-26-2011, 08:32 PM
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Stevie is currently kicking the Beastie Boys and Jennifer's butt on amazon. However, they seem to be getting better promotion though itunes and billboard magazine. We shall see. Last edited by Jondalar; 03-26-2011 at 08:38 PM..
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#18
03-26-2011, 08:37 PM
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#20
03-27-2011, 12:38 AM
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Let the Majic Begin
Taking a line from a Tom Petty song'' I don't hear a single'', If that is the case it will be Stevie's 'base ' that buys this album. How big Stevie's base is another question. Going on this IYD should be in the top 10 the week it is released . Be prepared for it to get only 20,000 or less the first week. Hopefully over time it tops around 300,000. On the other side of coin very few people have heard this music in total. People that have are gushing over it. Is David Wild going to review it for Rolling Stone? How many stars? 3 1/2 or 4 or 4 1/2.? Someone giving IYD 5 stars would be insanity on their part ,but what if it is that good? The Heart and Soul Tour may help more than we think. An Oprah appearance done right could do wonders.Are Warner/Reprise going push the music and if they do will it work? The sizzle reel is wonderful but is anybody going to see it. Could the sizzle reel be cut down to 60 or even 30 seconds to be used on internet or TV spots or whatever. Is there a single for the next Twilight movie. What if the Stevie movie Dave made is epic, will non chiffonheads stomach it? Forget MTV and for the most part VH1, Stevie needs to get all of her stuff on Palladia(they play a lot of concerts old and new).Fleetwood Mac's Live in Boston from the Say You Will tour has been on Palladia recently. Which now comes down to radio airplay. Breaking into Billboards top 100 pop charts and hanging around there all summer would be a dream. I am hoping Stevie's new music breaks into the countless outlets where music is played.Stevie being nominated for a Grammy is probably a given. Getting a nomination for record or song of the year would be fantastic. Maybe the world is inching Stevie's way a little. Harry Potter , Twilight and other fantasy outlets may bring in new listeners. American Idol and Glee have featured Stevie's music. Lastly the lady herself-- THIS STEVIE NICKS!!!
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#21
03-27-2011, 01:16 AM
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#22
03-27-2011, 01:23 AM
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#23
03-27-2011, 01:23 AM
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#24
03-27-2011, 01:30 AM
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#25
03-27-2011, 08:03 AM
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Any number of factors could help or hinder first Stevie's first week sales, but she'll debut in the top 5. Reprise has been pushing advance purchase because all advance order sales are applied to first week sales and Reprise knows her demo isn't the kid that must have an album the week of release.
The label is smart for marketing the CD on its own terms, almost as thought it were a luxury item or lifestyle. It worked last year for Sade Adu's first album in 10 years. She debuted at #1 with half a million in sales and without the benefit of hit single or top 40 airplay. \ Approximately 75% of Jennifer Lopez's long-delayed, and really awful Love? has already leaked since it was rejected by her last label. Even the few newly recorded songs are leaking. Single "On the Floor"'s brief, five-week run on the Hot 100 might won't help move units. It's debut high based on first week sales, peaked at #5 last week and this week plummeted to 13 -because radio isn't embracing it as expected. Her fanbase is likely to download the CD because they already own most of it and her two prior albums stiffed. The Beastie Boys project is somewhat non-traditional and it's release trajectory might change. Fleet Foxes will be competition. Stevie should just fake a suicide attempt a week before the album arrives, film a reality show 48 hours after the attempt and hit the talk shows in under a week. She'll triple her predicted numbers even without a top 40 hit. Worked for Fantasia.
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#28
03-27-2011, 11:19 AM
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My guess is first week sales would be in the 10,000-20,000 range. These days those are pretty decent for first week. The album will be at least top ten, but then quickly drop. The only people looking for this album are the die hard core fans. The general music buying/downloading public doesn't know about nor care that there is a new album on the horizon.
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