Oscar nominees

[GypsySorcerer]

Originally Posted by Richard B

Really? The SAG Awards generally set the tone for Oscars. Since actors (myself included) got screeners and free screenings, it does account for where the votes will go once the Academy starts voting, which includes actors, directors, producers, etc. Actors generally have poor taste, so things can change when the Academy gets their screeners. Actors are so cheap and I think that's why Crash did well at the SAG Awards...Lions gate sent a couple thousand free screeners out to SAG members. That helps a great deal for voting. No other film sent that many out.

I don't think BM will win Best Picture. I would be shocked if it did. Same goes with Crash. Usually Director/Best Picture go hand in hand, but not always and probably not this year. I really see Capote, Good Night and Good Luck getting the top honors. But if it's split, the nod might go to A. Lee for director. It's about marketing to a large degree.

Lee got the DGA, which is a pretty good indicator.

I just really think BM will get Best Picture. I think Good Night and Good Luck has lost some steam, and I just can't see Capote getting it.

Oh, well. We have a month to speculate.