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Originally Posted by louielouie2000
The Tea Party movement seems to be the 21st century renaissance of the Republican party. If the Republicans nominate someone who isn't business as usual for the '12 election, they have a good chance at unseating Obama.
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I'm not sure if you're just free-flow thinking here or implying that a Tea Partier could unseat Obama. There is absolutely no way that a true moderate (and certainly not a moderate-democrat) voter would swing to the tea party, and it's the moderates that the Republicans need to court if they want a shot at this. Obama has angered progressives in his party by not being progressive enough as well, of course, but those men and women will certainly never vote R, so I'm not even going to count them. If we're going to talk about a new type of Republican winning, it will be a republican who is a social moderate but a fiscal conservative. This is not a Tea Party Republican
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Another big factor will be the continued wars in Iraq
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Erm
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The single biggest issue of the next election will be the economy, though. Unless some headway is made, Obama's got an uphill battle.
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He has the bail outs to fight an uphill battle against moreso than "the economy." I think the single biggest issue will be a blanket issue-- big government. He'll have to defend the bail outs, the health care reform, and, if it gets to that point, the education reform movement which is an
all unto itself (for more, see the upcoming "Race to Nowhere" movie. As an early on Arne Duncan cheerleader, I'm so let down.)
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For what it's worth, I still think Obama will get another term.
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Agreed. Despite all of this ^, I wish that he wouldn't, but anyone else I would want can't run until we've got room for a different D on the ticket (oh hai, Jim Webb, I'm looking at you.)