Quote:
Originally Posted by strandinthewind
Well, just about every black person who votes will vote for him, at least that is what the D primaries and the major polls show. So, if the blacks come out and vote for him, which they have done in spades, and he gets most of the rest of the D vote, then he likely will defeat McCain. Interesingly, the black vote has not yet called Obama an "Uncle Tom" for rejecting a major black religious figurehead who apparently is racist against whites and jews. If that happens, Obama will get a resounding defeat come Nov.
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Well, in recent history, blacks have always gone for the Dem candidate by an overwhelming majority in the national presidential race. So, yes, no matter which Dem gets the nomination, the black vote is almost in the bag. But what is troubling about Obama is that his popularity seems to be limited mainly to the small traditionally red states that have a relatively small number of Democrats. So even though he has stirred up huge numbers of voters in states with high black concentrations like Alabama, Georgia, South Carolina and North Carolina, it is ultimately useless because these states will go red in November. And for that matter, the vast majority of the states he won in the primary will also go red in November. His inability to connect with Catholics, white women and white blue collar workers in battleground states like Pennsylvania, Ohio, and Florida basically means that he will not be able to muster the number of electoral college votes to win against McCain. Add to this the fact that he has essentially disenfranchised Michigan and Florida by blocking their say in the Dem nominee process. By contrast, not only does Hillary have a much better chance of winning the battleground states, she actually has a chance of capturing traditionally red states like Kentucky and West Virginia in the presidential election.
I realize that Hillary is polarizing and that half of the Democratic party hates her, and that some of her positions are dubious at best. But the cold hard reality is the fact that she is the Democratic party's best chance of winning in November. And if the superdelegates would pull their heads out of Obama's arse long enough to think rationally, they would back the stronger candidate. This is not an issue of personal preference; it's an issue of tactical strategy to recapture the White House, period.