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  #1  
Old 05-26-2004, 02:57 AM
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Post Report: al-Qaida Ranks Swelling Worldwide

Report: al-Qaida Ranks Swelling Worldwide
By BARRY RENFREW, Associated Press Writer

LONDON - Far from being crippled by the U.S.-led war on terror, al-Qaida has more than 18,000 potential terrorists scattered around the world and the war in Iraq is swelling its ranks, a report said Tuesday.

Al-Qaida is probably working on plans for major attacks on the United States and Europe, and it may be seeking weapons of mass destruction in its desire to inflict as many casualties as possible, the International Institute of Strategic Studies said in its annual survey of world affairs.

Osama bin Laden's network appears to be operating in more than 60 nations, often in concert with local allies, the study by the independent think tank said.

Although about half of al-Qaida's top 30 leaders have been killed or captured, it has an effective leadership, with bin Laden apparently still playing a key role, it said.

"Al-Qaida must be expected to keep trying to develop more promising plans for terrorist operations in North America and Europe, potentially involving weapons of mass destruction," IISS director Dr. John Chipman told a press conference releasing "Strategic Survey 2003/4."

At the same time it will likely continue attacking "soft targets encompassing Americans, Europeans and Israelis, and aiding the insurgency in Iraq," he added.

The report suggested that the two military centerpieces of the U.S.-led war on terror — the wars in Afghanistan and Iraq — may have boosted al-Qaida.

Driving the terror network out of Afghanistan in late 2001 appears to have benefited the group, which dispersed to many countries, making it almost invisible and hard to combat, the story said.

And the Iraq conflict "has arguably focused the energies and resources of al-Qaida and its followers while diluting those of the global counterterrorism coalition that appeared so formidable" after the Afghan intervention, the survey said.

The U.S. occupation of Iraq brought al-Qaida recruits from across Islamic nations, the study said. Up to 1,000 foreign Islamic fighters have infiltrated Iraqi territory, where they are cooperating with Iraqi insurgents, the survey said.

Efforts to defeat al-Qaida will take time and might accelerate only if there are political developments that now seem elusive, such as the democratization of Iraq and the resolution of conflict in Israel, it said.

It could take up to 500,000 U.S. and allied troops to effectively police Iraq and restore political stability, IISS researcher Christopher Langton told the news conference.

Such a figure appeared impossible to meet, given political disquiet in the United States and Britain and the unwillingness of other nations to send troops, he said.

The United States is al-Qaida's prime target in a war it sees as a death struggle between civilizations, the report said. An al-Qaida leader has said 4 million Americans will have to be killed "as a prerequisite to any Islamic victory," the survey said.

"Al-Qaida's complaints have been transformed into religious absolutes and cannot be satisfied through political compromise," the study said.

The London-based institute is considered the most important security think tank outside the United States. Its findings on al-Qaida's expanding structure and growing support by allied terrorist networks around the world track with similar assessments from governments and other experts.

The IISS said its estimate of 18,000 al-Qaida fighters was based on intelligence estimates that the group trained at least 20,000 fighters in its camps in Afghanistan before the United States and its allies ousted the Taliban regime. In the ensuing war on terror, some 2,000 al-Qaida fighters have been killed or captured, the survey said.

Al-Qaida appears to have successfully reconstituted its operations by dispersing its forces into small groups and through working with local allies, such as the Great Eastern Islamic Raiders' Front in Turkey, the report said.

"Al-Qaida is the common ideological and logistical hub for disparate local affiliates, and bin Laden's charisma, presumed survival and elusiveness enhance the organization's iconic drawing power," it said.
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Old 05-26-2004, 06:38 AM
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I see the War on Terror has been effective. So if all these boogie men are coming to get us, how come they haven't raised the terror alert levels?
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Old 05-26-2004, 08:20 AM
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I see the War on Terror has been effective. So if all these boogie men are coming to get us, how come they haven't raised the terror alert levels?
Um, how about stopping them from having an state sponsored base of operations in Afganistan and foiling at least one cell in the U.S AND do you think Kerry or any other D could be any better at catching OBL? PUUHHHLLEEZZE!
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Old 05-26-2004, 08:49 AM
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Originally Posted by strandinthewind
Um, how about stopping them from having an state sponsored base of operations in Afganistan and foiling at least one cell in the U.S AND do you think Kerry or any other D could be any better at catching OBL? PUUHHHLLEEZZE!
They already have Osama. They're just waiting to trot him out at the end of July or a few weeks into October.
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Old 05-26-2004, 10:46 AM
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This is another load of crap. I honestly think Al Qaida is kind of like "The Commies" in the fifties or "The Witches" in the Salem witch trials. If 18,000 of them acutally did exist, then I'd have to say The War On Terra has been a miserable failure.
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Old 05-26-2004, 10:51 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by strandinthewind
AND do you think Kerry or any other D could be any better at catching OBL? PUUHHHLLEEZZE!
You make a point, Jason. I mean, after all, Kerry's family is not buddy-buddy with the bin Ladins like Georgie's clan. So, based on that alone, it would be tougher for Kerry to get him.

Oooh... I can't wait for Fahrenheit 9/11.
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Old 05-26-2004, 10:53 AM
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Originally Posted by CarneVaca
You make a point, Jason. I mean, after all, Kerry's family is not buddy-buddy with the bin Ladins like Georgie's clan. So, based on that alone, it would be tougher for Kerry to get him.

Oooh... I can't wait for Fahrenheit 9/11.
It will definitely have an impact on the election, which Georgie has already lost, IMO.
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Old 05-26-2004, 10:53 AM
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Oooh... I can't wait for Fahrenheit 9/11.
You'll be waiting quite awhile. Disney won't sell it to the Weinstein's unless they get a cut of the profits.
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Old 05-26-2004, 10:54 AM
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You'll be waiting quite awhile. Disney won't sell it to the Weinstein's unless they get a cut of the profits.
Bastards.
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Old 05-26-2004, 10:56 AM
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Bastards.
Exactly. And the shareholders are furious at Eisner because they know that it's going to be huge and he won't release it.
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Old 05-26-2004, 11:25 AM
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Eisner's days are numbered.

Interestingly, the pronnunciation of his name, Eisner, is very close to the "Asno," which is the Portuguese word for ass (as in donkey).

Coincidence!? You be the judge.
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