LOTR and Jackson are shoo-ins.
Charlize Theron will win (why no nomination for Cate Blanchett, though?!)
An interesting race will be actor. Will they finally give it to bad-boy Penn?
I do hope Zellwegger wins supporting actress. She does kind of annoy me, but she's done some great work and deserves to be honored. And she kicked butt in Cold Mountain.